中国制造业真实能源强度变化的主导因素——基于LMDI分解法的分析  

The Dominant drivers of the Real Energy Intensity Changes in Chinese Manufacturing Sector:The LMDI Decomposition Approach

作　　者：郑若娟[1] 王班班[2] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361005 [2]武汉大学经济与管理学院,湖北武汉430072

出　　处：《经济管理》2011年第10期23-32,共10页Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )

摘　　要：本文采用综合能源消费与增加值真实值的比值作为能源强度的指标,针对中国制造业1994～2009年间能源强度的变动,运用LMDI分解法对其主要的驱动因素进行了研究。研究发现,技术效应是这段时期中国制造业能源强度变化的主导因素,贡献度达到80%以上。并且,对于大部分制造业行业来说,技术效应是造成行业能源强度下降的主要动因。同时,结构效应对能源强度的下降发挥了一定的作用。此外,通过采用分行业价格指数对各个行业的增加值数据进行调整,结果表明,制造业能源强度的下降幅度更大,并且有较大的下降空间。Taken the ratio between aggregate energy consumption and real added value as the index of energy intensity, this paper utilizes the LMDI decomposition technique to explore the dominant drivers for the energy intensity changes in Chinese manufacturing industry between 1994 and 2009, based on. Results show that, the technical effect, which was the leading factor during the period, contributing over 80% to the total intensity changes. For most manufacturing sectors, technical effect was the main driving force as well. Meanwhile, it shows that the structural effect was also found to be a contributor. Moreover, when the added value of each sub-sector was adjusted by the price index at sectoral level, a greater decline of energy intensity occurs in manufacturing sector.

关 键 词：能源强度 LMDI分解法 技术效应 结构效应 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]