地方政府财力集中度与经济增长的关系研究——基于1978-2009年省际面板数据的计量分析  

The Relationship between the Government Financial Concentration and the Economic Growth

作　　者：李喆[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学,武汉430070

出　　处：《中央财经大学学报》2011年第10期13-17,共5页Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics

摘　　要：本文基于1978—2009年全国31个省级区域的地区生产总值和政府财力集中度的时间序列数据,建立面板数据模型,对政府财力集中度和经济增长的关系进行了定量分析,得出了31个省、自治区、直辖市政府政府财力集中度对经济增长率的影响系数,并量化了政府财力集中度对区域经济增长的影响。结果发现:降低地方政府财力集中度可以提高省级地区经济增长率,且中部地区省份经济增长受政府财力集中度的负面影响高于中西部地区,东部地区省份的经济增长受政府财力集中度的影响相对较小。This article examines over the relationship between the government financial concentration and the economic growth, based on the macroeconomy data from fiscal year 1978 or 1987 to fiscal year 2009 in 31 pro vincial areas of China. With the quantitative analysis via the panel data model, the influence coefficients of government financial concentration are presented upon the local economic growth. Consequently, the effect of government concentration upon the regional economic growth is also conducted. It is concluded that the reduction of government financial concentration basically brings positive effect on the economic growth while the influence coefficients differs with different provincial areas and different regions.

关 键 词：政府财力 集中度 经济增长 

分 类 号：F812.7[经济管理—财政学]