基于偏离-份额模型的武汉城市圈产业结构优化研究  

The optimization of industrial structure of Wuhan Metropolitan Area based on Shift-Share Model

作　　者：冯娟[1] 万庆[1] 郭文伯[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学城市与环境科学学院,武汉430079

出　　处：《华中师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2011年第3期520-524,共5页Journal of Central China Normal University：Natural Sciences

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划(2008BAH31B06)

摘　　要：采用静态偏离-份额模型和动态偏离-份额模型,对武汉城市圈2001年～2009年间的产业结构进行定量诊断,以探讨武汉城市圈及其成员城市产业结构存在的问题,并提出具有针对性的产业结构优化对策.研究表明:2008年以后,武汉城市圈整体的产业结构效应开始彰显,三次产业竞争力显著增强,特别是第二、三产业竞争力明显提升,但产业结构效应还并未充分发挥,产业结构调整任务依然艰巨;2001年～2009年间,武汉城市圈产业发展整体具有竞争力,第二产业竞争优势尤其显著,第一产业则一直处于劣势地位,缺乏竞争力;2001年～2009年间武汉城市圈9个成员城市产业发展各具特点.The paper took the static shift-share model and dynamic shift share model as a tool to give a quantitative research on the industrial structure of Wuhan Metropolitan Area from 2001 to 2009 to explore the problems existing in the industrial structure of Wuhan Metropolitan Area and its members, and to propose some measures towards the optimization of industrial structure. The study shows that： the industrial effect of Wu- han Metropolitan Area began to work since 2008. The Competitive forces of the three in- dustry has been greatly improved, especially the secondary industry and the tertiary in- dustry, but the industrial effect has not been brought into full play. Among 2001-2009, industrial development of Wuhan Metropolitan Area is competitive as a whole, especially the secondary industry, but the primary industry has been at disadvantage and lack of competitiveness for years, and each of the nine members in the Wuhan Metropolitan Ar ea has its own characteristics on industrial development.

关 键 词：偏离份额模型 产业结构 武汉城市圈 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]