炉霍县耕地保有量预测及其对策研究  

Prediction 0f Stock of Cultivated Land in Luhuo County and Countermeasures of Its Protection and Use

作　　者：周志芳[1] 吴柏清[1] 杨宇奇[1] 聂冬平[1] 

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学旅游与城乡规划学院

出　　处：《技术与市场》2011年第10期104-106,共3页Technology and Market

摘　　要：基于炉霍县耕地利用状况与社会经济发展趋势,采用非线性回归分析和多元逐步回归分析法,构建了炉霍县耕地需求影响分析数学模型,据此预测到2020年炉霍县耕地保有量至少为4 772.09 hm2,提出了炉霍县耕地资源利用及保护的对策与建议,以期在保持耕地总量动态平衡的前提下实现炉霍县的社会、经济可持续发展。Based on the use of cultivated land and the development of social economy in Luhuo County,the nonlinear regression analysis 1.nonlinear regression analysis and stepwise methods were used to construct the mathematical model of influence analysis about cultivated land in Luhuo County.According to the results and related analysis, the stock of cultivated land in Luhuo County would be 4772.09hm2 at least in 2020, then some countermeasures and suggestions about use and protection of cultivated land in Luhuo County were proposed to keep the dynamic balance of cultivated land and realize sustainable development of society and e- conomy in Luhuo County.

关 键 词：炉霍县 耕地保有量预测 回归分析 对策 

分 类 号：F323.211[经济管理—产业经济]