我国报复威胁与美国对华反倾销关系实证研究  

An Empirical Research on the Relationship between China's Retaliation Threat and US's Antidumping against China

作　　者：余利红[1,2] 刘海云[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]中南民族大学经济学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2011年第10期53-61,共9页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(07BGJ008)

摘　　要：金融危机以来，我国遭遇反倾销的态势愈发严峻，文章探讨报复威胁对反倾销的抑制作用，采用1980--2008年美国对华反倾销及相关数据，运用泊松回归模型，验证了两种报复威胁渠道的效应，结果表明：我国产业界的报复性反倾销威胁降低了美国对华反倾销发起频度；而我国在WTO争端解决机制下的报复威胁没有阻止美国政府在对华反倾销案中作出肯定性裁决。As the No. 1 target of global antidumping, China has been subject to more and more serious antidumping since the global finance crisis. This paper explores two channels to restrain US＇ antidumping against China from the aspect of retaliation threat. Using the relevant data from 1980 to 2008, it constructs and uses two Poisson models to test the effect of two retaliation threat channels. The regression result shows that the retaliatory antidumping by China＇s domestic industry against US has decreased US＇ antidumping initiations against China while our government＇ threat through the Dispute Settlement Mechanism under WTO has not significantly restrained the US government to make affirmative determination in antidumning petitions against China.

关 键 词：反倾销 报复威胁 争端解决机制 泊松回归 

分 类 号：F741[经济管理—国际贸易]