我国卫生总费用快速推算方法及其应用研究  

Approach on Rapid Calculation of Total Health Expenditure and its Application in China

作　　者：雷海潮[1] 肖龙华[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京市卫生局,北京100053 [2]中国医学科学院医学信息研究所(卫生政策与管理研究中心),北京100020

出　　处：《中国卫生经济》2011年第10期11-14,共4页Chinese Health Economics

摘　　要：目的:探索建立卫生总费用的快速推算方法,有效缩短我国卫生总费用报告的滞后时间。方法:分析我国政府办综合医院经济收支数据占卫生总费用的比重变化趋势,根据政府办综合医院的收入和支出数据来快速推算卫生总费用的水平。结果:政府办综合医院的经济收支数据占卫生总费用的比例比较稳定,推算2010年我国卫生总费用已经达到2.1万亿元。结论:快速推算方法具有简便易用可靠易推广的特点,优于其他预测预报方法,可有效缩短我国卫生总费用统计报告的滞后时间。建议:健全我国卫生总费用的统计发布制度,数据发布可分为3个阶段,即:快速推算数、初步核实数、最终核实数。此外,要定期修订卫生总费用的历史数据,逐步探索建立季度卫生总费用的统计发布制度。Objective： To establish the rapid calculation method for Total Health Expenditure（THE） in China and narrow the time-lag in reporting THE.Methods： The revenue and expenditure data in the government-owned general hospitals were analyzed as the base for calculation THE in China.Results： The ratios of the revenue and expenditure data in the government-owned general hos pitals to NHE remained stable in recent years.The calculated THE for 2010 was RMB 2 100 billion yuan.Conclusions： The rapid cal culation approach developed in the study has some superior characteristics to other projection methods in terms of simplicity,convenience and reliability.It could reduce the time-lag in reporting THE in China.Suggestions： The statistic and reporting system of THE in China should be promoted.Three reporting approaches for THE are suggested as the rapid calculation figures,preliminary verified figures and finalized verified figures.Based upon national census,the historical THE figures should be modified periodically.Quarterly THE report-ing system should also be explored in the future.

关 键 词：卫生总费用 快速推算方法 数据发布制度 

分 类 号：R197.1[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]