我国地方经济发展的环境协调性及其影响因素——基于DEA-Tobit模型的实证研究  

Coordination of Local Economic Development and Environment Protection and Its Effects:Toward a DEA-Tobit Model

作　　者：许陈生[1] 邓淇中[2] 

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学,广州510006 [2]武汉大学,武汉430072

出　　处：《广东外语外贸大学学报》2011年第5期47-52,共6页Journal of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies

基　　金：广东省普通高校人文社会科学重大攻关项目(编号:10ZGXM63002);广东省哲学社会科学项目(编号:GD10XGL08);广东外语外贸大学人才引进项目资助

摘　　要：基于DEA模型,本文评估了1993-2007年我国地方经济发展的环境协调性,结果显示,总体上我国地方经济发展与环境保护之间的关系很不协调,而且存在显著的地区差异,东部地区的环境协调性明显好于中西部地区,甘肃、宁夏、山西、广西、辽宁、贵州等地的经济发展与环境保护关系严重失调。本文进一步采用面板随机效应Tobit模型探讨了影响我国地方经济发展环境协调性的因素,研究发现,经济发展的环境协调性与工业占比、对外贸易、政府规模显著负相关,与人口密度、国有企业占比显著正相关,与经济发展水平存在U型曲线关系。Based on the DEA （data envelopment analysis） method, this paper evaluates the coordination of economic development and environment protecting in China from 1993 to 2007. The results show that China＇ s economic development and environmental protection are not mutually in line, and this differs significantly from region to region. Obviously, the coordination between the two in the east is better than in the central and western regions; and a serious imbalance between economic development and environment protection can be seen in provinces such as Gansu, Ningxia, Shanxi, Guangxi, Liaoning and Guizhou. Further, this paper discusses the factors of coordination of local economic development and environment protec- tion based on the panel random effects Tobit model. It finds that there is a significant negative correlation between economic development-environment coordination and the size of GDP, foreign trade and government, but a significant positive correla tion between this coordination and population density as well as scale of state-owned enterprises. Nevertheless, there exists a U-shaped curve relationship between this coordination and level of economic development.

关 键 词：经济发展 环境协调性 数据包络分析 TOBIT模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]