江苏省能源消费与经济增长的互动关系研究  

Interaction Research between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Jiangsu

作　　者：孙一清[1] 王子龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学,南京210016

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2011年第10期80-87,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:71003048);南京航空航天大学青年科技创新基金(项目编号:NR2011003)的资助

摘　　要：本文依据1985—2009年江苏省能源消费总量和GDP的统计数据，运用协整理论，格兰杰因果关系检验，并在建立VAR模型的基础上进行脉冲响应函数和方差分析，对能源消费与经济增长的互动关系进行定量分析。结果表明，江苏省能源消费与GDP之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系，并存在从能源消费到经济增长的单向因果关系。为保持江苏省经济持续、快速、健康发展，必须运用各种措施，通过政策的有机组合实现能源消费与经济增长的协调发展。Using the methods of co- integration analysis and Granger causality tests, on the basis of establishing VAR model on impulse response function and variance analysis, the paper quantitatively analyzes the interactive rehtionship between economic growth and energy consumption of Jiangsu Province from 1985 to 2009. The empirical results show that there is a stable causal relation between GDP and energy consumption in the long run. Energy consumption contributed to Jiangsu＇s economic growth. To maintain the sustaining, rapid and health development of the economy, Jiangsu province should take kinds of measures by which reasonably putting the combination d policies into practice step by step, which would achieve the proportionate and coordinated economic growth and energy consumption.

关 键 词：能源消费 经济增长 互动关系 

分 类 号：F206[经济管理—国民经济]