“后拉登时代”驻阿富汗美军战略调整初探  

US Troops in Afghanistan: Strategy Modification in Post-Bin Laden Era

作　　者：陈小茹[1] 

机构地区：[1]<中国青年报>

出　　处：《南亚研究》2011年第3期40-52,共13页South Asian Studies

摘　　要：美国总统奥巴马2011年6月宣布未来14个月撤军3.3万。这标志着以"战争"形态存在的美国全球反恐行动将逐渐画上句号,同时也表明美国将在阿富汗、巴基斯坦地区加快新一轮反恐策略的调整步伐。调整后的驻阿美军战略的主要特点是:从"以打为主"渐趋"打谈结合";由大规模打击变成精确定点清除;从眼下的暂时驻扎转为在阿长期存在。这既符合美国的国家长远战略利益诉求,更符合卡尔扎伊政权未来的生存需求。美军的这一战略调整将会对南亚局势、中亚战略态势、伊朗的国家安全以及中国和俄罗斯的安全战略产生重大影响。The US President’s announcement in June about the retreat of 33000 US soldiers from Afghanistan in the next 14 months indicates an end of a major US war on terror and brings about modification of US strategy in Afghanistan-Pakistan region. The strategy modification is characterized by shift from the battleground to negotiation tables, and shift from large-scale attack to precise strikes. At the same time, the US will try to legalize its military presence in Afghanistan and make it a permanent stay, catering to demands from both long-term national strategy of the US and survival of Hamid Karzai’s regime. The strategy modification will have significant impact on South and Central Asia, as well as on national security strategies of Iran, Russia and China.

关 键 词：后拉登时代 阿富汗 驻阿美军 战略 

分 类 号：E712[军事—军事理论] E372