辽宁省服务业发展与城市化进程关系的实证研究  

Empirical Study on Relationship between Service Industry and Urbanization of Liaoning Province

作　　者：崔璐[1] 关伟[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院,辽宁大连116029 [2]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展中心,辽宁大连116029

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2011年第11期988-991,1021,F0003,共6页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划项目(编号:2008BAH31B06);辽宁省科学技术计划项目(编号:2009401015)

摘　　要：为了探求辽宁省服务业发展水平与城市化进程的关系,以辽宁省1985—2009年服务业增加值占GDP的比重、城市化率作为服务业发展水平和城市化进程的解释性指标,从时间序列角度出发,尝试构建两者间的关系模型,进而得到辽宁省服务业发展与城市化进程的关系。运用Eviews软件,通过单位根检验,找出最佳时间滞后期对数据进行平稳性的差分处理和Granger检验。结果表明,辽宁省1985—2008年以服务业增加值占GDP比重为指标的服务业发展水平和以城市化率为指标的城市化进程之间不存在显著的互为因果关系,同时对结果进行了讨论并分析其产生的原因。To explore the development level and the relationship between urbanization process of Liaoning Province, taking the added value of service industry of GDP and urbanization rate of Liaoning Province in 1985 - 2009 as the explanatory index,this paper tried to build the relationship model from the time sequence angle,and to obtain the development of service industry in Liaoning Province and the urbanization process of the relatinnshlp.Using Eviews software,through the unit root test,found out the best time of delay- time on data processing and smoothness of difference Granger inspection. The results showed that the date from 1978 of Liaoning Province to value added services of GDP for the services index development level and the urbanization rate for index of the urbanization process did not exist between each significant causal relationship, finally discussed the resuits and analyzed its reason.

关 键 词：服务业 城市化 协整检验 GRANGER因果关系检验 

分 类 号：F719[经济管理—产业经济]