中国—东盟热带水果贸易及对中国热带水果产业影响研究  

The Situation,Latent Influence of China's Tropical Fruit Trade with ASEAN Countries and the Developing Strategy of China's Tropical Fruit Industry

作　　者：谭砚文[1] 关建波[1] 陈姗妮[1] 

机构地区：[1]华南农业大学经济管理学院,广州510642

出　　处：《农业经济问题》2011年第10期37-43,110-111,共7页Issues in Agricultural Economy

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目(编号:0882D030);国家自然科学基金项目(编号:70873043);广东省社科基金项目(编号:09E-17);全国优秀博士论文资助项目(编号:200783);广东省高校人文社科重点研究基地重大项目(编号:09JDXM79005)阶段性成果

摘　　要：本文对中国—东盟自由贸易区建立以来中国与东盟国家热带水果的贸易现状及经济效应进行了分析。研究发现,"早期收获计划"及零关税政策的实施显著促进了中国热带水果及其加工品进口量的增长,丰富了中国热带水果消费市场,对东盟国家的贸易创造和贸易转移效应影响突出,也提高了中国热带水果贸易的经济效率,但同时却成为中国与东盟贸易逆差的根源。随着低价格东盟热带水果进口量的进一步增长,中国热带水果生产及加工产业将面临更严峻的挑战。This paper analyzes the present situation and economic effects of China's tropical fruit trade with ASEAN since the establishment of Free Trade Area between China and ASEAN countries.It indicates that the'early harvest agreement'and the zero tariff policy significantly contributed to the rapid growth of China's imports of tropical fruits and processed products,enriched Chinese tropical fruit market,promoted the effects of trade creation and trade diversion for ASEAN countries,and improved the economic efficiency of Chinese tropical fruits trade.However,this paper finds that the huge imports of tropical fruits from ASEAN became the original cause of China's trade deficit with ASEAN.With the further growth in importing the tropical fruit with lower prices from ASEAN,China's tropical fruit industries will face gigantic potential impacts and China's tropical fruit processing industry will also face more severe challenges.In order to promote the healthy development of China's tropical fruit industry,and to improve China's tropical fruit industry's competitiveness,China should develop the tropical fruit processing products,implement the competitive strategy in developing tropical fruit's processing industry,and increase the investment in R&D to achieve the model of advanced technology leading Chinese tropical fruit industry's development.Furthermore,the macro-control polices should be strengthened,the financial support policy system should also be established.

关 键 词：中国—东盟自贸区 热带水果 贸易效果 发展战略 

分 类 号：F326.13[经济管理—产业经济]