污染型行业区域布局的转移趋势——基于全要素生产率视角  

A Study on Transfer of Polluting Industries and Their Regional Distribution Based on Total Factor Productivity

作　　者：傅帅雄[1] 张文彬[1] 张可云[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京大学光华管理学院 [2]中国人民大学区域与城市经济研究所

出　　处：《财经科学》2011年第11期53-60,共8页Finance & Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目"生态文明取向的区域经济协调发展战略研究"(批准号:08AJY044)的阶段性成果之一

摘　　要：在Battese and Coelli(1992)模型基础上,采用非中性技术进步超越随机前沿模型,对2003-2008年中国31个省、直辖市、自治区17类污染型行业的面板数据进行分析,测算各行业在各省份的全要素生产率增长率情况。分析结果发现,大部分污染型行业在中西部地区全要素生产率的平均增长率都比东部地区要高。从经济效率来看,大部分污染型行业势必在未来布局选择上会倾向于向中西部地区转移。而中西部地区的生态承载力和环境承载力都相对较弱,污染型行业向这些地区大规模转移必然会导致这些地区的生态环境进一步恶化。对此,本文从生态文明的角度对污染型行业的优化布局提出了具体的政策建议。Based on Battese and Coelli（1992） model,adopting a non-neutral technological progress beyond the stochastic frontier model,this paper analyzes panel data of 17 polluting industries among China＇s 31 provinces,municipalities,autonomous regions during the year 2003 to 2008,and then calculates the total factor productivity growth of every industry in each province.The result is： for most polluting industries,the average growth rate of total factor productivity in the Midwest is higher than that of the eastern regions.Therefore,from an economic efficiency perspective,most polluting industries are bound to transfer to western regions in the future when they are faced with spot choices.However,the ecological carrying capacity and environmental carrying capacity are relatively weak in central and western regions.Once those polluting industries shift to these areas on a large scale where ecological environment is already fragile for the pursuit of efficiency,it will inevitably further deteriorate ecological environment in these areas.Therefore,this paper makes specific policy recommendations to optimize the layout of polluting industries from the perspective of ecological civilization.

关 键 词：全要素生产率 污染型行业 产业转移 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F279.27F205