一个基于沟通函数的谣言传播仿真模型  

Rumor Propagation Model Based on Communication Functions and Finite Memory

作　　者：张芳[1,2] 司光亚[1] 罗批[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防大学信息作战与指挥训练教研部,北京100091 [2]第二炮兵青州士官学校,青州262500

出　　处：《系统仿真学报》2011年第11期2482-2486,共5页Journal of System Simulation

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(60874086;60774035);国家863计划(2007AA01Z323)

摘　　要：人际谣言传播过程中人与人之间的沟通以及个体的记忆是谣言传播的主要因素。引入了个体对谣言态度的不确定性、谣言的重要性和模糊性等参数建立了个体间的沟通函数,以此为基础实现了一个基于有限记忆的人际谣言传播的Agent仿真模型。仿真结果表明:谣言内容的重要性和模糊性、人际间的信任程度以及个体传播谣言的倾向概率以及个体基于有限记忆的态度选择是形成谣言及传播的重要因素。此结果能够与社会学、传播学对谣言形成与传播的研究结果相印证,反映了模型的合理性和有效性。The important factor which impacts rumor propagation is human＇s communication and finite memory. Communication functions between individuals and individuals ＇finite memory function were given by defining uncertainty of individual＇s attitude, trust factor, and desire to spread rumor, by describing pertinence and faintness of rumor. Based on these definitions, an agent simulation model of rumor propagation was realized. Analysis of this model leads to conclusions： both pertinence and faintness of rumor, both trust factor, desire and finite memory are important factors to spread rumor which impacts rumor form and spread. Congruence of our simulation results and sociology and communication theory proves this model is reasonable and effective.

关 键 词：谣言传播 沟通函数 重要性 模糊性 不确定性 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术] E911[自动化与计算机技术—计算机科学与技术]