中国相对价格水平变动的B-S效应机理分析  

Mechanism Analysis of the Balassa-Samuelson Effect on the Relative Price Level Change of China

作　　者：王迎春[1,2] 宋宁[2] 

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学统计学院,辽宁大连116023 [2]石家庄铁道大学经管学院,河北石家庄050043

出　　处：《石家庄经济学院学报》2011年第5期15-19,共5页Journal of Shijiazhuang University of Economics

基　　金：河北省社科联项目(200902024)

摘　　要：供给是导致通货膨胀的因素之一。对于快速增长的发展中经济体,巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应(B-S效应)是从供给角度解释其相对价格上涨的基础理论。针对中国新一轮物价上涨趋势,首先从理论上探讨了B-S效应对中国的适用性,并以1982年—2009年期间中美两国相关数据为样本,运用格兰杰因果检验方法对B-S效应在中国的适用性进行了实证检验,结果显示中国B-S效应成立。Supply factor is one of the factors which inducing inflation.For those rapidly growing economies,Balassa-Samuelson Effect is the fundamental theory to explain the increasing of their relative aggregate price level from the viewpoint of supplying side.This paper firstly sets up the framework for analyzing the long-run mechanism of relative aggregate price level evolution for China with the theory of Balassa-Samuelson Effect,then makes a Granger-Causality-test of Balassa-Samuelson Effect for China with a sample period from 1982 to 2009 regarding the United States as the foreign country.The result of the test indicates that Balassa-Samuelson Effect is hold in China.

关 键 词：相对价格变动 B-S效应 格兰杰因果性检验 

分 类 号：F014.31[经济管理—政治经济学]