农业结构调整、农业多功能性与农民收入变化——基于长三角苏、浙、沪地区的实证研究  

Agricultural Structure Adjustment,Agricultural Versatility and Farmers' Income Changes——Based on Research of Jiangsu,Zhejiang,Shanghai

作　　者：陈锴[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学农业和农村发展学院,北京100872

出　　处：《经济问题》2011年第11期82-86,共5页On Economic Problems

摘　　要：农业的多功能性为农业结构调整奠定天然基础。以农业多功能性为背景,首先,对长三角地区农业结构状况进行了研究和评价;然后,通过对比种植业、林业、畜牧业、渔业产值与农民家庭经营性收入的年均变化情况来分析农业结构调整对农民增收的经济效应,并用灰色关联模型所计算出的农村家庭经营性收入与种植业、林业、畜牧业、渔业产值的关联度来验证;最后,建立了家庭经营性收入年增长率预期模型。Agricultural versatility of agricultural structure adjustment of natural foundation laid. Based on the background of agricultural versatility, first of Yangtze river delta region agricultural structure condition for the research and evaluation. Then through the contrast of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery each industry output value and the average peasant family business income changes to analyze the agricultural structure adjustment of economic effect of increasing the income of farmers, and the calculated grey relation model of rural family business income and farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery each value correlation to verify. Finally, the article established a family business income from annual rate.

关 键 词：农业结构 家庭经营性收入 位移分析法 灰色关联模型 

分 类 号：F321[经济管理—产业经济]