Lewisian Turning Points in China：an EmpiricalApplication of the Minami Criteria  

作　　者：卿涛 杨仕元 岳龙华 

机构地区：[1]Professor at the School of Business Administration at Southwest University of Finance Economics [2]Doctoral Candidate at Southwest University of Finance Economics,＂ Lecturer at Sichuan Agricultural University [3]Doctoral Candidate at Graduate School of Chtnese Academy of Social Sclences Lecturer at Sichuan Agricultural University

出　　处：《China Economist》2011年第6期58-67,共10页中国经济学人（英文版）

基　　金：This paper was supported by the National Social Science Foundation （07BJY049）; the Ministry of Education Project of Humanities and Social Science （06JA630058）; and ＂211 Project＂ of Southwestern University of Finance and Economics.

摘　　要：Widespread shortages of migrant labor in China have aroused acrimonious debate about whether the economy has arrived at the Lewisian turning point, which would have significant implications for policymakers. We collected panel data from China ＇s 31 provinces2 over the period 1990 to 2009 and conducted empirical test according to Minami＇s criteria. Our results indicate that China＇s economy has passed the first Lewisian turning point but do not provide evidence that China has reached the second Lewisian turning point.

关 键 词：Lewisian turning point shortage point commercial point 

分 类 号：F12[经济管理—世界经济] TP391.4[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]