碳排放约束下我国地区全要素生产率增长及影响因素分析  

Productivity Growth with Carbon Emissions Constraint and Their Determinants

作　　者：赵成柏[1,2] 毛春梅[3] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏南京210098 [2]淮阴工学院经济管理学院,江苏淮安223001 [3]河海大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210098

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2011年第11期68-74,共7页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"我国经济中的碳排放强度评估及其目标实现路径研究"(11YJA790214);国家统计局"我国产业结构变动对碳排放的影响及其对策"课题(2010LC70)和淮阴工学院科研基金项目

摘　　要：本文运用Malmquist-Luenberger指数法测度了我国各地区1995—2007年碳排放约束下全要素生产率增长及构成。估计了在碳排放约束和传统情形下全要素生产率指数及其构成,并检验两种情况下全要素生产率及其构成的差异。主要结论有:碳排放约束条件下东部地区TFP增长最快,西部地区增长最慢,中部地区则均介于二者之间;我国全要素生产率增长水平不断提高,技术效率变化是全要素生产率增长的源泉,但在碳排放约束情况下不及传统全要素生产率高;在28个省市区中,有8个地区至少移动生产可能性边界1次;本文还实证考察了人均GDP、工业化水平、技术无效率水平、劳均资本、能源强度和开放度等因素对在碳排放约束条件下全要素生产率影响效果,并据此给出了一些政策性建议。In this paper,we examine levels and trends in conventional and regulation on CO2 emissions sensitive productivity from 1995 to 2007.Firstly,we estimate and compare two type TFP index from regulations on CO2 emissions to no regulations over current levels and test the difference of TFP in two kinds of conditions.The major conclusions are as follows： Under CO2 emissions restrictions,the eastern region has the highest TFP Growth rate while the western region has the lowest TFP growth rate.With accounting convention,sensitive productivity growth for 28 regions on average is slightly higher than that of regulations on CO2,and efficiency change is the main source.Out of 28 regions,eight different regions shifted the frontier at least once.Econometric analysis indicates a number of variables that has important effects on regulation on CO2 emissions sensitive measures of productivity,including variables relating GDP per capita,technical in efficiency,capital labor ratio,the energy intensity and openness.We find that these variables have different effects.In addition,policy implications are discussed.

关 键 词：碳排放约束 全要素生产率 Malmquist-Luenberger指数 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]