中国三大经济区域全要素能源效率研究——基于超效率DEA模型和Malmquist指数  

Total-factor Energy Efficiency Analysis of Three Major Economic Regions in China:Based on Super-DEA and Malmquist

作　　者：马海良[1] 黄德春[2] 姚惠泽[3] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏常州213022 [2]河海大学产业经济研究所,江苏南京210098 [3]复旦大学管理学院,上海200433

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2011年第11期38-43,共6页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：江苏社科基金项目"江苏发展低碳经济研究"(编号:10EYC023);中央高校基本科研基金项目"长三角能源效率影响因素和节能政策研究"(编号:10B101-027)

摘　　要：三大经济区域能源效率的高低直接决定我国总体能源利用水平。通过研究能源效率与全要素生产率变动的关系,可以较好分析能源效率提高的原因,从而为全国节能工作提供有益的建议。本文将知识存量纳入生产函数,使用1995-2008三大经济区域的面板数据,选取超效率DEA模型和Malmquist指数法,测算出三大经济区域的能源效率和全要素生产率,并回归分析全要素生产率分解的各指标对能源效率的影响。结果显示:长三角和珠三角区域能源效率普遍要高于环渤海区域;2007年经济危机导致三大经济区域能源效率降低,同时却迫使产业转型,技术进步增长较快。另外,能源效率的改善依赖于全要素生产率的提高,技术进步和技术效率的增长都可导致能源效率的提高,但技术进步由于回弹效应使得影响值较小。据此,本文提出了在分解节能目标时要考虑地区差异、处理经济危机时须防止能源消费反弹等政策建议。The level of China＇ s overall energy level would be determined by energy efficiency of three major economic region（Yangtze Rive Delta,Pearl River Delta, Bohai Zone）. The reasons of increasing energy efficiency would be better explained by studying the relationship of energy efficiency and total-factor productivity. Using panel data in 1995 - 2008, including the stock of knowledge into production function, adopting the Super-efficiency DEA model and Malmquist method, the paper measures energy efficiency and totalfactor productivity （TFP） of China＇ s three major economic regions in the framework of total-factor energy efficiency. Then the contribution degree of TFP factors to energy efficiency is analyzed. The results are listed as follows ： Energy efficiency of Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta is generally higher than that of Bohai Zone. Energy efficiency of three major economic regions reduced and rapid technological progress was made through industrial restructuring in 2007 economic crisis. In addition, the improvement of energy efficiency depends on TFP increase, and the improvement of technological progress and technical efficiency all lead to higher energy efficiency. But the influence of technological progress is less because of rebound effect. On these grounds, we propose policy recommendations such as considering regional differences in the decomposition of energy-saving goal, and preventing rebound in energy consumption in dealing with the economic crisis.

关 键 词：三大经济区域 能源效率 MALMQUIST指数 DEA 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]