陕西省粮食生产能力及影响因子分析  

The Analysis on the Grain Production Capacity and the Impact Factor of Shaanxi Province

作　　者：党夏宁[1] 吴丹晨[2] 

机构地区：[1]西北政法大学,陕西西安710063 [2]北京大学,北京100871

出　　处：《西安财经学院学报》2011年第6期54-59,共6页Journal of Xi’an University of Finance & Economics

基　　金：国家哲学社会科学一般项目(11BJY107);2009年西安市科技计划项目(SF09013)

摘　　要：按照我国省域粮食产销状况排序,陕西省属于粮食产销平衡区。然而陕西省绝大多数年份的粮食生产量不能满足本省粮食消费量的刚性增长。文章通过对1980-2010年陕西省粮食总产量和单产量的变动趋势和影响因子进行分析,认为耕地面积减少、气候变化和单位面积化肥施用量是影响陕西省粮食产量的主要因素,在此基础上提出政策性建议。Shannxi Province is a balance area of national grain production and marketing according to national sorting order. However, the grain production in Shannxi could not meet rigid increase of consumption in many years. Based on the analysis of total grain production in Shannxi and the changes in tender and factor of single output, this artical comes to the conclusion that the decrease of arable land, climate change and chemical fertilizer per unit area are main factors influencing the grain production of Shannxi Province. Also, the artical provides policy recommendations on the basis of the analysis.

关 键 词：陕西粮食生产能力 粮食总产量 粮食单产量 粮食生产影响因子 

分 类 号：F127.41[经济管理—世界经济]