中国与OECD国家服务贸易成本动态演变的研究  

Dynamic Evolution and Determinants of the Bilateral Service Trade Costs between China and OECD Countries

作　　者：邵学言[1] 刘洪铎[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学国际经济贸易学院,广东广州510006

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2011年第11期26-32,共7页International Economics and Trade Research

摘　　要：文章借助Novy(2006)改进的引力模型测度2000～2008年中国与OECD国家的双边服务贸易成本。从测算的结果来看,中国与OECD国家的双边服务贸易成本在总体上经历了平缓下降的过程。绝大部分OECD国家与中国的双边服务贸易成本呈现了不同程度的下降趋势,与此同时部分国家的服务贸易成本却基本保持不变甚至略有上升。文章利用随机效应模型,从实证研究的角度对服务贸易成本进行分解,进而探讨了影响双边服务贸易成本的各种影响因素,最后揭示了研究的政策性涵义。Trade costs as an important factor have often been overlooked in the academic literature of trade in services. Based on a multi-country general equilibrium model of trade that incorporates bilateral iceberg trade costs, Novy （ 2006 ） presented a revised gravity model. Utilizing this theory-based methodology, this paper measures the bilateral costs of trade in services between China and OECD Countries for the period of 2000-2008. The results indicate that, on the whole, China and OECD Countries experience a slow decline in the trade costs in services, and specifically, the trade costs between China and the majority of OECD countries fall in various degrees whereas those between China and some of OECD countries remain unchanged or e,~en increase. By using the random effects estimator, it decomposes the bilateral costs of trade in services empirically, and makes a comprehensive analysis of the influential factors of them as well. And in the end, on this basis, it proposes some corresponding policy implications.

关 键 词：改进的引力模型 服务贸易成本 OECD国家 政策性涵义 

分 类 号：F752.68[经济管理—国际贸易]