我国外债风险管理的实证分析  

Risk Management of China's Foreign Debt

作　　者：张彬[1] 黄圆圆[2] 

机构地区：[1]福建师范大学协和学院,中国福州350108 [2]福州大学,中国福州350001

出　　处：《上海商学院学报》2011年第5期94-100,共7页Business Economic Review

摘　　要：相关研究表明近年来我国的外债规模急剧扩大,特别是短期外债的比例增速极快。外债结构存在很多的不合理性,这些因素都会对我国未来的经济发展产生影响。面对如此庞大的外债,我们必然会对我国外债的偿还能力产生质疑。文章从我国外债的现状着手,通过相关数据的计算并将这些数据同一系列安全指标进行比较,用计量方法找出影响我国外债的主要因素,结合我国外债的实际情况,对我国的外债规模和外债结构做出适当的调整。Recent studies indicate that China＇s foreign debt is growing rapidly and that the composition of foreign debts is irrational. These factors will exert a negative impact on the country＇s future economic development. With such a huge foreign debt, we are bound to question the ability to repay these debts. This article, proceeding from relevant data and calculations, attempts to find out the major factors affecting our foreign debts and suggests adjustment in the amount and structure of the debts.

关 键 词：外债 外债风险 外债规模 外债结构 

分 类 号：F832.6[经济管理—金融学]