基于群组AHP的复杂仿真系统可信度评估方法  

Method for complex simulation credibility evaluation based on group AHP

作　　者：张忠[1] 方可[1] 杨明[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工业大学控制与仿真中心,黑龙江哈尔滨150080

出　　处：《系统工程与电子技术》2011年第11期2569-2572,共4页Systems Engineering and Electronics

摘　　要：针对复杂仿真系统的学科面广、仿真规模大、技术领域宽等特点,提出了基于群组层次分析法(analytic hierarchy process,AHP)的复杂仿真系统可信度评估方法。首先,根据判断矩阵对专家水平进行评判,并结合专家的主观权重,给出了一种确定专家综合权重的方法。然后,利用Hadamard凸组合对不同专家所建立的判断矩阵进行集结,并证明了判断矩阵Hadamard凸组合的一个性质,进而获得复杂仿真系统可信度的群体评估值。最后给出一个实例验证了方法的有效性。Against complex simulation system＇s features such as broad knowledge, large scale and wide technical field, a method for complex simulation credibility evaluation based on group analytic hierarchy process （AHP） is proposed. First, an approach to deriving expert synthesis weight is presented, which integrates the expert subjective weight and evaluation result of expert＇s abili{y from the judgement matrix. Then, iudgement matrices constructed by different experts are aggregated by using Hadamard convex combination, and a property of the Hadamard convex combination of the judgement matrix is proved, furthermore, group assessment value of complex simulation credibility is obtained. Finally an example is given to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

关 键 词：可信度评估 群组层次分析法 专家综合权重 Hadamard凸组合 

分 类 号：TH166[机械工程—机械制造及自动化]