国道网交通量增长分析  

The Traffic Volume Increasing Analysis of the National Highway Network

作　　者：范振宇[1,2] 梁新华 

机构地区：[1]交通部规划研究院 [2]山西省公路局

出　　处：《山西交通科技》1999年第3期42-44,共3页Shanxi Science & Technology of Transportation

摘　　要：通过对１９８６年—１９９７年交调资料的汇总分析，揭示了我国国道网交通量历年来的增长趋势，并对其变化规律进行了经济相关性分析和数理统计描述。This paper bases on the traffic referances from 1986 to 1997 offered by the traffic survey stations in China.In the paper, the traffic volume variation in the later 12 years is analysed and the patten is presented. Furthermore the economic correlation and the economic elasticity of traffic volume are emphatically analysed. The mathmatic model of AADT and GDP is founded, and the formula is believed effectively to prodict the future traffic volume of the network.

关 键 词：国道网 交通量 相关性 分析 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]