中国区域人为热释放的气候强迫  

Climate Forcing due to Anthropogenic Heat Release over China

作　　者：陈兵[1,2] 石广玉[1] 戴铁[1,2] 申彦波[3] 王标[1] 杨溯[1,2] 赵剑琦[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室,北京100029 [2]中国科学院研究生院,北京100049 [3]国家气候中心,北京100081

出　　处：《气候与环境研究》2011年第6期717-722,共6页Climatic and Environmental Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目"人为热释放气候效应的数值模拟研究"(40775008)

摘　　要：研究了1978～2008年中国地区及各省、市、自治区、特别行政区人为热释放造成的气候强迫与不同地区间的人口、能源消费状况和人为热释放的气候强迫的关系,并试图对未来人为热释放的气候强迫做出预估。结果表明,近30年中国地区平均人为热释放造成的气候强迫迅速增加,1978年其值约为0.07W·m-2,但2008年则增至0.28W·m-2。另外,中国人为热释放的气候强迫呈典型地域分布特征,华北、华东、华中和华南等经济发达地区明显高于周围其他地区,而西北地区整体上来说则很小,地区分布很不均匀。这种不均匀分布的特征,可能对区域气候、甚至全球气候造成影响。The population, energy consumption,and the climate forcing for anthropogenic heat release （AHR） in China and in different provinces and areas were analyzed, as well as the relationship among them. Besides, the climate forcing for AHR in the future was predicted. The result shows that the climate forcing for AHR has greatly increased during recent 30 years. In 1978, the climate forcing for AHR is only 0.07 W·m-2, while it has increased to 0.28 W·m-2 in 2008.The distribution of AHR has regional characteristics in China,that is, the climate forcing for AHR in the northwestern part of China,they is very little, while in North China, Central China, East China,and South China,they are much higher than other regions. The distribution of the climate forcing for AHR is nonuniform,and it may be very high in some regions. It may influence the regional climate,as well as the climate of China, even the world climate.

关 键 词：人为热释放 气候强迫 

分 类 号：P422.4[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]