基于马尔可夫链的产品供给预测方法  

The Forecast Methods for Product Sales and Supply Based on Markov Chain

作　　者：许传亮[1] 

机构地区：[1]日照职业技术学院,山东日照276800

出　　处：《中国西部科技》2011年第32期3-4,共2页Science and Technology of West China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(10771120)

摘　　要：本文针对产品销售与供应的特点,建立了可以对产品销售与供应情况进行预测的马尔克夫预测模型,基于马尔克夫链"无后效性"的特点,利用马尔克夫链模型对产品库存的合理性进行了分析,对企业制定产品销售策略提供了理论依据。In this paper,based on the characteristics of product sales and supply,we established the Markov forecast model which can forecast the fundamental condition of product sales and supply.By using the Markov forecast model,we also made rationality analysis on product stocks based on the characteristics of Markov chain,and provided a theory basis to the business establishment that make product sale strategies.

关 键 词：马尔可夫链 转移矩阵 产品供应 

分 类 号：O211.62[理学—概率论与数理统计]