有害生物随水果类产品传入的风险评估方法  

A brief introduction for the method of pest introducing risk assessment

作　　者：饶玉燕[1] 刘静远 黄英[1] 陈克[1] 严进[1] 朱水芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国检验检疫科学研究院,北京100029 [2]上海机场出入境检验检疫局

出　　处：《植物检疫》2011年第6期69-74,共6页Plant Quarantine

摘　　要：本文研究了澳大利亚进口新西兰苹果风险分析报告,阐述其分析有害生物进入的过程及计算方法的数学模型。文中分别就有害生物随产品到达口岸的可能性、病害类有害生物随产品被消费者丢弃可能性、病害类有害生物接触寄主可能性及发生可能性,进行了详细的分析并列出计算方法,为风险分析工作提供技术帮助。In this paper,an brief introduction was given for the method of pest introducing risk analysis through import fruit products according to Australian final report of import risk analysis for apples from New Zealand.It described the probability that a quarantine creature would enter Australia as a result of trade in a given commodity,the probability that the apple fruit with pathpgens are discarded by each coustoms and subsequently to be transferred to a suitable host.And also list the simple calculation method.The purpose of this paper is to provide technical assistance for risk analysis work.

关 键 词：风险分析 评估方法 

分 类 号：S41-33[农业科学—植物保护]