基于灰色模型的我国物流产业增加值预测  

Prediction of Industrial Added Value of Logistics Based on Gray Models

作　　者：欧阳凯[1] 袁松宝[1] 刘俐[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京物资学院研究生部,北京101149

出　　处：《物流工程与管理》2011年第11期56-58,共3页Logistics Engineering and Management

摘　　要：文中利用灰色系统理论,建立了我国物流产业增加值的预测模型。通过实际数据与预测结果的比较,证明灰色模型对于我国物流产业增加值的预测具备可行性,同时具有较高的精度。结果表明,未来4年我国物流产业增加值呈稳定增长趋势,这也能够为我国物流产业发展在一定程度上提供理论依据。By using gray system theory,a model is established to predicate industrial added value of logistics.By the comparison of the actual data to the result of prediction,it is proved that by using gray system theory to predict industrial added value of logistics is workable,with rather high accuracy.The results show that the next four years will see a substantial growth of industrial added value of logistics,which,to some extent,can provide the logistics industry with a theoretical basis for its development.

关 键 词：物流产业 物流产业增加值 灰色预测 

分 类 号：F252[经济管理—国民经济]