中国城镇居民人均可支配收入与消费支出的关系研究——基于变系数模型的分析  

A Study on the Relationship between Per-disposable Income and Consumption Expenditure of Urban Residents in China:An analysis based on varying-coefficient models

作　　者：张林泉[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东女子职业技术学院,广东广州511450

出　　处：《广东海洋大学学报》2011年第5期48-51,共4页Journal of Guangdong Ocean University

基　　金：广东省高等职业技术教育研究会项目(编号:GDGZ10049)

摘　　要：利用我国城镇居民人均可支配收入与消费支出的面板数据(1991-2009),采用变系数模型、协整理论等时间序列分析方法对其消费行为进行实证检验,并建立了城镇居民的消费模型,分析了边际消费倾向和自发性消费。结果表明:可支配收入与其消费支出之间存在着长期均衡的关系;当期收入是影响居民消费的最直接、最重要的因素,并据此提出相应的一些政策建议。Based on the panel data of per income and expenditure of urban residents in China,this paper,after making an empirical analysis on their consumption functions by using some methods of time series analysis including co-integration and varying-coefficient models,establishes the models that show autonomous consumption and the marginal consumption propensity.Evidence shows that long-term equilibrium relationship exists between disposable income and expenditure,and current income is the most important factor affecting the household consumption as well.Some proposals are offered correspondingly.

关 键 词：变系数模型 消费函数假说 可支配收入 消费支出 

分 类 号：O212[理学—概率论与数理统计] F224.9[理学—数学]