中国不同区域动态就业弹性的比较——基于面板数据的实证研究  

Comparison of Dynamic Employment Elasticity in Different Regions

作　　者：赖德胜[1] 包宁[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院

出　　处：《中国人口科学》2011年第6期38-48,111,共11页Chinese Journal of Population Science

摘　　要：文章利用1997～2009年省际面板数据对东、中、西三大经济区域的动态就业弹性进行估计,结果表明,东部地区的短期就业弹性显著高于中、西部地区,但长期就业弹性的区域差异并不大,短期就业弹性的区域差异主要是由就业调整速度、劳动的生产效率和产业结构不同引起的。较低的短期就业弹性使中、西部地区在经济波动的情况下面临着更大的风险。中、西部地区可以通过发展劳动密集型行业、提高劳动生产效率来增加产出水平,同时调整产业规模、实现与东部地区产业的有效对接,促进区域间的良性互动和协调发展。Using 1997-2009 provincial panel data,this paper has estimated the dynamic employment elasticity of different regions.The results show that the short-term employment elasticity in eastern regions is significantly higher than that in the middle and western regions,and the long-term employment elasticity gap among those regions is not so significant.The paper argues that the employment elasticity differences among regions mainly come from their different paces of employment adjustment,efficiency of labor in production and their different industrial structure.The lower short-term employment elasticity is,the greater risks the middle and western regions will face during economy fluctuation.However,the middle and western regions can raise output by encouraging the development of labor-intensive industries,improve labor production efficiency and adapt a proper industrial structure.Also the good interaction among all regions is necessary for the harmonious development of the whole economy.

关 键 词：动态就业弹性 省际面板数据 就业调整速度 劳动生产效率 

分 类 号：F249.2[经济管理—劳动经济] F224[经济管理—国民经济]