塔里木河流域气候变化与径流变化特征分析  

Analysis of Characteristics of Climate Change and Runoff Variation in Tarim River Basin

作　　者：许云锋[1] 左其亭[1] 

机构地区：[1]郑州大学水科学研究中心,河南郑州450001

出　　处：《水电能源科学》2011年第12期1-4,共4页Water Resources and Power

基　　金：国家973计划基金资助项目(2010CB951004);水利部公益性行业科研专项经费基金资助项目(200801001);国家科技支撑计划基金资助项目(2008BAB42B09);国家自然科学基金资助项目(51079132);新疆维吾尔自治区重点实验室开放课题基金资助项目(XJYS0205-2010-02)

摘　　要：采用趋势分析、小波分析等方法分析了1951～2010年塔河流域8个气象站点气象资料及13个水文站1956～2009年的径流量及降雨资料,揭示了不同时间尺度下塔河流域降雨及径流量序列变化周期,阐述了气候变化与径流变化特征之间的关系。结果表明,塔河流域的径流量处于相对平衡状态、降雨与径流主周期相同,气候变化仍是影响径流量变化的重要因素。Based on the meteorological data of 8 meteorological stations from 1951 to 2010 and the runoff and rainfall of 13 hydrologic stations from 1956 to 2009, the variation characteristics of climate change and runoff is analyzed by using wavelet analysis and trend analysis. The periodic oscillation of rainfall and runoff variation at different time scales are dis covered and the relationship between climate change and runoff variation is presented. The results show that the runoff of Tarim River Basin is in equilibrium; the rainfall and runoff have the same main period; climate change is an important fac tor for influence of runoff variation.

关 键 词：气候变化 径流变化 趋势分析 小波分析 塔河流域 

分 类 号：TV121.1[水利工程—水文学及水资源] P333[天文地球—水文科学]