个人和家庭跨期决策与被试异质性——基于随机效用理论的实验经济学分析  

The Individual and Household Trans-period Decision-making and the Subject Heterogeneity:An Analysis,Based on the Theory of Random Utility,of Experimental Economics

作　　者：何浩然[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院 [2]哥德堡大学经济系

出　　处：《管理世界》2011年第12期12-20,31+187,共9页Journal of Management World

基　　金：瑞典海外发展研究署资助;瑞典Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius基金会资助;瑞典研究委员会(Vetenskapsr det)对本研究的资助

摘　　要：本文研究家庭成员个人偏好对家庭共同跨期决策的影响和被试异质性对实验行为的影响。在分别针对大学生和农村居民开展的高回报跨期决策实验中,本文在控制条件下获得两类被试的个人和家庭决策行为的可比数据,运用随机参数模型分别就夫妻双方的个人决策、个人决策与家庭共同决策,以及学生与农村居民的决策进行比较分析,同时估计两位家庭成员对家庭共同决策的相对影响力。结果表明,收益金额和兑现时间这两项特征均显著影响跨期决策行为,其中学生具有强烈的现时偏向型偏好。男性比女性、学生比农村居民具有更强的对早兑现收益的偏好。此外,男性比女性对家庭共同决策具有更强的影响力,学生家庭决策中男女性影响力的不平衡程度大于农村居民家庭。In this article,we have studied the effect of the individual preferences of family members on household joint trans-period decision-making and on the subject heterogeneity.In the experiment that aims respectively at university students and at rural residents,of the trans-period high repayment,and under controlled conditions,we have acquired two kinds of comparable data on the decision-making behavior of the individuals and households who have been tested.We have used the random parameter model to compare the individual decision-making of husband and wife,the individual decision-making,the household joint decision-making,and the decision-making of students and rural residents,and made an analysis,and estimated the relative strength of effect of the members of two-member families on the family joint decision-making.The results indicate that both the characteristics of the amount and those of the timing of reward have obvious impact on the behavior of the trans-period decision-making,which makes students have strong preferences for the present time.Males have a stronger influence than females on the preference for early-gained benefit,and the same is true with students compared with rural residents.Moreover,males have stronger impact on the family joint decision-making than females,and,in the decision-making in student-families,the degree of the influential inequality between males and females in student-families than in families of rural residents.

关 键 词：家庭决策 跨期决策 现场实验 被试异质性 随机参数模型 

分 类 号：F069.9[经济管理—政治经济学]