基于Logistic模型估算江安河武侯区水污染经济损失  

Economic Loss Rate of Water Pollution in Wuhou Section of the Jiang'an River Based on Logistic Model

作　　者：刘耀源[1] 邹长武[1] 郭光义[1] 杜朗 周媛媛[1] 罗茜[1] 

机构地区：[1]成都信息工程学院资源环境学院,成都610225

出　　处：《中国农村水利水电》2011年第12期33-35,共3页China Rural Water and Hydropower

基　　金：成都信息工程学院科研启动项目(KYTZ200919)

摘　　要：在对江安河武侯区段水质进行监测的基础上,应用Logistic模型对江安河水污染造成的经济损失进行了估算。结果表明:江安河武侯区段水污染经济总损失率高达99.99%,其中SS造成的污染损失率达到99.86%;总体经济损失为从2009年的42.33亿元逐年增大至2011年的65.15亿元。因此必须加强水环境监测与污染控制力度。Economic loss rate of water pollution in Wuhou interval of the Jiang＇an River is calculated by logistic model based on monitoring its water quality. The result shows that economic loss rate of water pollution in Wuhou interval of Jiangan River is 99.99% , in which suspended solid is the most serious pollution and its loss rate reaches 99. 86%. The whole economic loss was 42.33 hundred million in 2009 and is 65.15 hundred million in 2011. So it is neccesary to monitor water quality and control pollution.

关 键 词：江安河 LOGISTIC模型 经济损失率 水质监测 

分 类 号：F323.213[经济管理—产业经济]