华南海平面变化及其对水位极值估计的影响  

SEA LEVEL VARIATION AND THE EFFECT TO WATER LEVEL EXTREME DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATE IN SOUTH CHINA

作　　者：朱雅敏[1] 李志龙[2] 

机构地区：[1]国家海洋局珠海海洋环境监测中心站,广东珠海519015 [2]湖南商学院,湖南长沙410205

出　　处：《海洋湖沼通报》2011年第4期126-133,共8页Transactions of Oceanology and Limnology

摘　　要：应用奇异谱(SSA)分析方法,预测了华南海平面的变化。应用海门站31a的最高潮水位资料,求作了P-Ⅲ型和Gumbel型极值水位频率曲线,比较分析了海平面上升对极值水位推算的影响,表明由于海平面上升,导致多年一遇高水位增高。Applied singular spectrum analysis,trend of sea level change was analyzed and discussed.Effect of sea level rise in calculation of extreme level distributing is obvious too.Applied extreme high level data of Haimen station in 31 years,frequency curve of P-Ⅲ and Gumbel were calculated.Through comparing and analyzing,the result showed that sea level rise caused extreme high level become higher.

关 键 词：SSA 海平面 极值水位 

分 类 号：P731.2[天文地球—海洋科学]