俄罗斯民族宗教结构的变化诱发新的社会政治危机  

New socio-political crisis triggered by changes of Russian national-religious structures

作　　者：王冠宇[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院农村发展研究所

出　　处：《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2011年第6期18-24,95,共7页Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies

摘　　要：20世纪90年代以来,在俄罗斯总体人口严重下降的背景下,俄罗斯族人大幅度减少,而原本基数就很大的穆斯林人口却不断攀升。本文特别阐述了在俄北高加索地区、中央地区及俄罗斯族人与穆斯林混居地区由于民族宗教结构的变化引发的社会政治危机以及俄联邦政府处置该问题的相关政策。一个基本的判断是,俄罗斯人将人口下降及老年化称为"人口灾难",而更让俄联邦政府感到不安的是穆斯林人口在迅速增长,由此引起的国家民族宗教结构变化,并将对俄罗斯未来社会政治面貌产生巨大影响。In the context of serious decline of Russia's total population since the 1990s the Muslim population who had occupied quite a big proportion has been rising steadily.The article elaborates on the socio-political crisis——triggered in Russian Ciscaucasia,central region as well as in areas inhabited by the Russian ethnic group intermingled with Muslims due to the national-religious structural changes——as well as the relevant policies of the Russian government.A basic judgment is that the Russians describe the population decline and aging trend as a 'disaster in population,' but what vexes the Russian federative government more is the rapid increase of the Moslem population,as the country's national religious structural change will have a big impact on Russia's future political image.

关 键 词：俄罗斯 东正教 伊斯兰教 

分 类 号：D751.2[政治法律—政治学]