俄罗斯外交战略调整:趋势及影响因素  

Russia's adjustment in diplomatic strategy:Trend and impact factors

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作  者:黄登学[1,2] 

机构地区:[1]山东大学当代社会主义研究所 [2]山东大学政治学与公共管理学院

出  处:《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2011年第6期61-69,96,共9页Russian,East European & Central Asian Studies

基  金:2010年教育部人文社科规划项目“俄美关系‘重启’对中俄、中美关系的影响及对策研究”(项目编号10YJAGJW006);“山东大学自主创新基金资助”(Independent Innovation Foundation of Shandong University,IIFSDU)项目“梅德韦杰夫外交发展研究”(项目编号IFW10016);山东大学985“地区政治与地区安全”项目的阶段性研究成果

摘  要:以奥巴马总统上台大幅度调整美国对俄政策并"重启"俄美关系为契机,俄罗斯也开始积极调整外交战略,改变以往对以美国为首的西方国家的强硬立场,转而重新把后者作为外交第一优先。俄罗斯这种"西倾"性外交战略调整会走多远,关键要看美国能否把俄罗斯真正看作一个平等伙伴并化解双方的战略分歧与矛盾以及俄罗斯与西方在诸如欧洲安全、欧洲导弹防御系统等问题上分歧的弥合程度。俄罗斯与西方关系所面临的诸多难以解决的障碍与问题决定了俄战略调整的"幅度与深度",未来俄罗斯外交战略再次"一边倒"的可能性不大。Taking advantage of the wide-ranging readjustment of US Russia policy since President Obama took power and his efforts to reopen Russian-US relations,Russia also began to actively readjust its diplomatic strategy,and changed its previous stiff stand against the US-led West into one giving priority to it.How far such West-oriented diplomatic strategic adjustment will go depends on whether the US can treat Russia as an equal partner and dissolve their bilateral strategic differences and contradictions as well as the extent to which they can make up their differences on such questions as European security and European missile security.The obstacles and problems faced by Russia-West relations decide the 'width and depth' of Russian strategic adjustment.It is improbable to have another leaning to one side in Russian diplomatic adjustment in future.

关 键 词:俄罗斯 外交战略 俄美关系 中俄关系 

分 类 号:D851.2[政治法律—政治学]

 

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