基于灰色预测法的军械维修器材消耗规律  

Research on the Consumption Law of Ordnance Maintenance Material Based on Grey Forecast Law

作　　者：徐廷学[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院,山东烟台264001

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2011年第11期163-167,共5页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：军内科研基金资助项目

摘　　要：研究并掌握军械维修器材的消耗规律,对做好军械维修器材的保障工作有着重要的意义。基于此,研究了灰色预测法,并针对军械维修器材的实际情况,论述了如何确定影响因子,进而对灰色预测模型进行了改进,用改进后的模型研究军械维修器材的消耗规律,预测结果非常贴近实际值。The work to study and master the consumption law of ordnance maintenance material has important meaning to the support of ordnance maintenance material.This paper discusses how to determine influence factor in accordance with the real circumstance of ordnance maintenance material.This paper also discusses how to improve the grey forecast model.If studing the consumption law of ordnance maintenance material with the improvement model,the forecast value approaches the real value to a great degree.

关 键 词：军械维修器材 灰色预测法 影响因子 消耗规律 预测 

分 类 号：TJ760.7[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]