公共预算决策理论述评:理性主义、渐进主义和间断均衡  

Review of Public Budget Decision-making Theories:Rationalism,Incrementalism and Punctuated Equilibrium

作　　者：邝艳华[1] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学政治与公共事务管理学院

出　　处：《公共行政评论》2011年第4期145-162,181-182,共18页Journal of Public Administration

摘　　要：预算决策是公共预算领域中一个长期存在的普遍问题,预算决策理论发展至今产生了三个重要理论:理性主义、渐进主义和间断均衡理论。最早的理性主义由于没有意识到理性限度以及高估预算官员的计算能力而被渐进主义所取代,长期稳定的渐进预算结果和基数加增长的预算决策模式广为流传。但是,由于渐进主义无法解释非渐进变化的发生机制,分析方法上存在错误以及规范层面难以自圆其说,因此,间断均衡理论应运而生。该理论试图完整描述预算结果和解释间断均衡的预算决策过程,揭示注意力和体制摩擦左右的议程设置过程,并认为这一过程会导致稳定的渐进变化,伴随偶尔的剧烈变化这一预算结果。公共预算决策理论的变迁体现了理论的传承和发展。Budget decision making is the area of public budgets in which a long-standing general confusion,budgetary decision so far has gone through three significant theories:Rationalism,Incrementalism and Punctuated Equilibrium.Earliest rationalism as no rational limits and overestimated budget officials realized that computing power being replaced by Incrementalism,long-term,stable base of progressive budget results and budget decisions to increase growth patterns widely accepted.But because it cannot explain the mechanism of non-incremental change,there is an error on the analysis method and normative research is difficult to justify and other reasons,punctuated equilibrium theory began to shine full description trying to budget results and interpretation of the punctuated equilibrium of the budget decision-making process,revealed the agenda setting of attention about friction and institutional stability as a result of the process of incremental change with an occasional dramatic changes to the budget results.Budget decision theory reflects the changes in the theory of inheritance and development of the theory.

关 键 词：渐进主义 间断均衡 预算决策 

分 类 号：D033[政治法律—政治学]