基于农户尺度的农业旱灾脆弱性综合评价——以湖北省襄阳市曾都区农户调查为例  

Comprehensive Evaluation on Vulnerability of Agricultural Drought Disaster Based on Rural Household Level——A Case Study of Rural Household Survey in Zengdu District,Xiangyang City Hubei Province

作　　者：严奉宪[1] 张钢仁[1] 朱增城[1] YAN Feng-xian;ZHANG Gang-ren;ZHU Zeng-cheng(College of Economics&Management,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan,Hubei,430070)

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2012年第1期11-16,共6页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"基于农户需求与响应行为识别的农业减灾体系研究"(70873048)

摘　　要：从农户微观角度出发,以Hoovering模型为基础,建立了基于熵值法和层次分析法的农户农业旱灾脆弱性综合评价指标体系和评价模型,并利用其对湖北省襄阳市曾都区的农户调查数据进行了实证分析,结果表明:农田水利设施较好、地势平坦、家庭收入水平较高的村落,农户的整体农业旱灾脆弱性相对较低;农业贷款对农户的农业旱灾脆弱性有显著影响,灾害补贴对农户的农业旱灾脆弱性影响不显著。由此,提出降低易旱地区农户的农业旱灾脆弱性的建议:加强易旱地区的农田水利基础设施建设,特别是要加强基础水源工程建设进程;在易旱地区要加大农业贷款、农业保险、抗旱节水技术推广等惠农政策的力度。Based on the micro-perspective and hovering model, this paper, using AHP and Entropy Methods, constructs the comprehensive evaluation index system and evaluation model of agricultural drought disaster vulnerability. In addition, this paper makes an emprical analysis on survey data from the households of Zengdu District,Xiangyang City. The result shows that villages with better farming irrigation facilities, flat terrain and the higher family income have lower-degree level of vulnerability of agri- cultural drought disaster; agricultural loans have significant impact on farmers~ vulnerability of agricul- tural drought disaster, while disaster subsidies have not obvious impact on agricultural drought disaster vulnerability. Therefore, this paepr proposes several suggestions on how to reduce vulnerability of agricultural drought in drought-prone areas： to strengthen the infrastruetural construction of farmland and water conservancy in drought-prone areas, in particular, to strengthen water-based construction process; to increase the intensity of the preferential agricultural policy, such as agricultural loans, agricultural insurance and drought-resistant and water-saving technology in drought-prone areas.

关 键 词：农户 农业旱灾 脆弱性 聚类分析 

分 类 号：F3[经济管理—产业经济]