南平市小麦赤霉病发生和气象条件的关系  

Relationship Between Wheat Scab and Weather Conditions in Nanping City

作　　者：邓云[1] 江文清[1] 周仕全[1] 邱慧明[1] 饶溶辉[1] 黄继平[1] 张洁薇[2] 

机构地区：[1]福建省南平市农业科学研究所,福建建阳354200 [2]福建省南平市农业气象试验站,福建南平354200

出　　处：《福建稻麦科技》2011年第4期32-35,共4页Fujian Science and Technology of Rice and Wheat

摘　　要：以2003—2011年南平地区小麦3个对照品种的赤霉病发生程度为研究对象,对小麦赤霉病的病情指数、发病率进行调查,并与开花期温度、降雨量的进行相关性分析,然后在逐步回归分析的基础上建立小麦赤霉病对照品种发生程度的动态预测模式,拟合率为92.6%。The degree of damage of wheat scab for three check wheat varieties was investigated based on disease index and the incidence in 2003-2011 at Nanping city, china, and the investigation data were made a correlation analysis with the temperature and rainfall within flowering period of wheat. Then a different phases forecast mode of damage degree of wheat scab for 3 check varieties was established with stepwise regression, which was found to have a good fitness of 92.6%.

关 键 词：小麦赤霉病 气候动态预测模式 

分 类 号：S435.121[农业科学—农业昆虫与害虫防治]