农村养老保险适度水平的微观测度与动态调整研究  

A Study on Rural Endowment Insurance Moderate Level Micro-Measurement and Dynamic Adjustment

作　　者：边恕[1] 穆怀中[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学人口研究所,辽宁沈阳110036

出　　处：《社会保障研究》2011年第6期3-11,共9页Social Security Studies

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目"完善我国农村社会保障体系和提高社会保障水平研究"(09ZD023);国家教育部人文社科一般项目"新型农村养老保险动态适度给付水平研究"(11YJCZH150)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：本文以新型农村社会养老保险制度试点为宏观背景,对农村养老保险适度水平进行了测算。对养老保险适度水平理论进行了创新,提出了农村养老保险适度水平微观测度方法:以修正恩格尔系数为基础测度农村养老保险适度水平下限;以扩展性线性支出修正模型为基础测度农村养老保险适度水平上限。同时分别依据农村居民总支出和可支配收入、农村恩格尔系数及物价指数的历史变动趋势,预测了2010-2020年农村养老保险动态适度水平的上下限;提出了近期农村养老保险适度水平上下限的标准值,并对当前新农保的普惠制给付进行了评价。This paper measures the rural endowment insurance level in the scheme of new rural social endowment insurance system. Pioneers the endowment insurance moderate level theory, suggests the micro- measurement method, measures the lower limit of rural endowment insurance moderate level based on the adjusted Engel~ Coefficient, and also measures the upper limit based on the adjusted ELES. This paper also forecasts the lower and upper limit of 2010 -2020 dynamic level based on rural family total expenditure and disposable income, rural Engel＇s Coefficient and price index; puts forward the standard value of rural endowment insurance level, and at last, appraises the Generalized System of Preferences of the new rural social endowment insurance system.

关 键 词：农村养老保险 适度水平 微观测度 动态调整 

分 类 号：F842.6[经济管理—保险] F224