汾渭地震带地震发生的灰色灾变预测  

GREY CATASTROPHE FORECAST OF OCCURRING TIME OF FUTURE STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN FENWEI SEISMIC BELT

作　　者：许俊奇[1] 

机构地区：[1]陕西省地震局

出　　处：《灾害学》1990年第3期44-48,共5页Journal of Catastrophology

摘　　要：本文应用灰色理论中的灾变预测方法,建立了汾渭地震带中强震发生时间的灰色预测模型。并对未来中强震的发震时间进行了预测。A grey prediction model of occurring time of midium and strong earthquake in the Fenwei seismic belt has been obtained according to the method of ca- tastrophe forecast in the grey theory.Then the occurring times of medium and strong earthquakes in the future have been predicated based on the model.

关 键 词：地震 预测 地震带 灰色理论 

分 类 号：P315.9[天文地球—地震学]