需求风险下不同供应链运作方式的绩效研究  

RESEARCH ON THE PERFORMANCE OF SUPPLY CHAIN BASED ON DIFFERENT OPERATION MODE UNDER DEMAND RISK

作　　者：孟庆峰[1] 盛昭瀚[1] 李真[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学社会科学计算实验中心,南京210093

出　　处：《系统科学与数学》2011年第10期1174-1184,共11页Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(70731002);国家自然科学基金项目(71171099;70971061;71001049;71001028);国家社会科学基金青年项目(10CCL025)

摘　　要：在充分考虑供应链纵向竞争与横向竞争的基础上,构建出需求风险影响下的两条采用不同运作方式的三阶层竞争供应链的计算实验模型.从收益均值及收益稳定性两方面分析了消费者价格偏好、质量水平偏好以及需求规模不确定性对不同运作方式下的供应链及相关成员竞争绩效的影响.研究表明两种运作方式在影响供应链整体收益及收益稳定性方面差异性不大,但对于链内成员的利润及利润波动的影响存在差异.We first establish a multi-agent model of three-level supply chains that ap- plying different operation modes under demand risk by taking into account the effects of the vertical and horizontal competition between supply chains. Then we analyze the impact of the consumer price preferences, quality preferences and demand scale uncertainty on the competi- tive performance of two supply chains and the relevant members. Simulation results show that the different operation modes have no significant impact on the overall profits or profits stability of the supply chains, but have different impact on the profits and its stability of members.

关 键 词：供应链 运作方式 需求风险 绩效 计算实验. 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F274