空地精确制导武器对地攻击目标毁伤评估  

Battle damage assessment of air-to-ground precision guided weapon air-to-ground attack

作　　者：李望西[1] 黄长强[1] 吴文超[1] 宋磊[1] 轩永波[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学工程学院,西安710038

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》2012年第1期211-218,共8页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

基　　金：空军工程大学研究生科技创新计划(DX2010108);军内重点项目(KJ2010145;KJ2010146);航空科学基金(20105196016)

摘　　要：针对现代战场的复杂性、目标毁伤评估信息的多样性、不确定性,结合模糊理论和贝叶斯网络建立了目标毁伤评估模糊贝叶斯网络模型.对于网络中的连续节点,运用模糊理论将其转换为相应的隶属度,再利用可能性概率转换理论转换为可用于贝叶斯网络推理的概率知识.模型考虑了天气、电子和光学干扰、武器-目标匹配度等因素对目标毁伤评估的影响,作战决策人员可以运用该模型对各种攻击条件下的目标毁伤效果进行仿真,快速、准确地评估目标毁伤等级,并可融合战后收集的侦察情报得到目标真实毁伤信息,利用评估准确度对预测评估模型进行修正,最终为是否进行二次打击及合理配置火力提供决策依据.Aiming at the complexity of modern battlefield, diversity, uncertainty and illegibility of battle damage assessment （BDA） data sources, the BDA fuzzy Bayesian networks is constructed by integrate the fuzzy set theory into Bayesian networks. The continuous node of this network is converted to corresponding membership degree, and then the membership degree is converted to probability knowledge which can be used to Bayesian networks inference by possibility transformation theory. The effect on BDA of weather, electronic jamming, optical jamming and weapon-target matching degree are considered in this model. The combat decision-maker can use the model to simulate on the target damage under the varied kinds of attack conditions, and make quick and correct assessment on target damage grade. It can get true target damage information by syncretizing the recon-naissance intelligence collected after the attack, and it also can make use of assessment accuracy to modify the assessment model. Finally, it will provide decision-making evidence for second strike and properly making fire-power configuration scheme.

关 键 词：目标毁伤评估 目标易损性 武器-目标匹配度 干扰 模糊理论 贝叶斯网络 对地攻击 

分 类 号：V279[航空宇航科学与技术—飞行器设计]