经济发展方式转变与区域弹性构建——基于DEA理论的评估方法研究  

Transformation of the Economic Development Mode and Regional Resilience Construction

作　　者：张岩[1] 戚巍[1] 魏玖长[1] 周志翔[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术大学,安徽合肥230026

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2012年第1期81-88,共8页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：教育部社科研究项目(08JA630082);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-10-0920);国家社会科学基金重大项目(08&ZD043)

摘　　要：我国每年因各类突发事件造成的经济损失占GDP总量的5%以上,同时对社会的稳定和发展带来巨大冲击和损害。科学评估区域应急能力,加强区域应急弹性建设是提高政府社会管理能力的重要路径。DEA方法能够避免设定先验的评价指标权重,而且还能对投入冗余及产出不足进行分析。本文构建基于DEA理论的区域弹性评估模型,并通过实证分析,测度中国大陆各省区2001—2009年的"区域弹性指数"。研究发现,单纯的经济增长并不能带来区域弹性的优化,更重要的是实施经济发展方式的快速转变,调整经济结构、加强科技创新、注重生态资源合理开发和环境保护,对区域弹性的提高具有正外部效应。The economic losses caused by various types of unconventional emergencies accounted for more than 5% of GDP each year in China, which impacted the social stability and development. Scientific assessment of the regional emergency response capacity and enhance regional resilience are important paths to improve the social management capacity of government. DEA method can avoid setting a priori weights of evaluation indexes, and can be used to analyze the resuhs of input and output. This paper constrnctes an evaluation model of regional resilience based on the DEA theory, and measures each province＇s ＂regional resilience index＂ of China's Mainland from 2001 to 2009 through empirical analysis. The study finds that economic growth alone can not bring optimization of regional resilience, more importantly, transformation of the mode of economic development, readjust the economic structure, strengthen scientific and technological innovation, focus on the rational use of ecological resources and the protection of environment have positive externalities to enhance regional resilience.

关 键 词：经济发展方式转变 非常规突发事件 区域弹性 DEA 

分 类 号：C931.2[经济管理—管理学]