政府支出规模、经济波动与经济增长——基于省级面板数据的实证分析  

Size of Government Expenditure,Economic Fluctuation and Economic Growth——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：沈炳珍[1] 黄漓江[1] 

机构地区：[1]杭州电子科技大学经贸学院,浙江杭州310037

出　　处：《经济经纬》2012年第1期18-21,共4页Economic Survey

基　　金：浙江省高校人文社科重点研究基地"决策科学与创新管理"资助项目(RWSKZD01-201105)

摘　　要：笔者在Barro的政府规模与经济增长理论基础上,引入经济波动以反映政府支出规模对经济活动的干预,利用中国28个省(市、自治区)1979年～2008年的面板数据,检验了政府支出规模与经济波动对经济增长的影响。研究结果发现,我国地方政府支出规模与经济波动对区域经济增长都产生了负效应,且经济波动比政府支出规模对区域经济增长的负效应更大。因此,政府在追求经济高速增长的同时,要更加注重保持经济增长的稳定性。Based on Barro＇ s theory on government size and economic growth,the authors introduced economic fluctuation to reflect the intervention of government expenditure size in economic activities, and tested the impacts of both government expenditure size and eco- nomic fluctuation on economic growth with the panel data of 28 Chinese provinces,municipalities and autonomous regions from 1979 to 2008. The findings of empirical research show that Chinese local government expenditure size and economic fluctuation both have negative effects on regional economic growth. Compared with the government expenditure size, the negative impact of economic fluctuation on regional economic growth is greater. So while pursuing rapid economic growth, the government should focus on the stability of eco-nomic growth.

关 键 词：政府支出规模 经济波动 经济增长 

分 类 号：F120[经济管理—世界经济]