资源禀赋与“资源-经济”系统的有序度--“资源诅咒”在中国省际层面的再检验  

Resource Endowment and the Coordination of "Resource-Economy" System

作　　者：邓明[1,2] 钱争鸣[1] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361005 [2]厦门大学福建省统计科学重点实验室厦门大学,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《厦门大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2012年第1期125-132,共8页Journal of Xiamen University(A Bimonthly for Studies in Arts & Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社科基金一般项目“非对称信息下中央与地方两级政府的环境污染治理对策研究”(08BJY076);国家社科基金青年项目“非参数空间计量经济模型及应用研究”(10CTJ002);中央高校基本科研业务经费(2011221011)

摘　　要：区域经济系统基本符合耗散结构的特征,可以利用熵变模型来度量系统有序度的动态变化。利用灰关联熵和1998-2009年间我国省际面板数据对我国各省际的"资源—经济"系统的有序度进行分析。"资源—经济"这一经济关系存在时变特征,并利用状态空间模型分析资源禀赋对"资源—经济"系统有序度的影响,从而从系统论的角度对"资源诅咒"命题进行了再检验。研究结果表明:在整个样本区间里,"资源—经济"系统的有序度同资源本身有着负相关的关系;资源禀赋对"资源—经济"系统熵变值在2003-2005年三年间的影响是最大的;资源禀赋会通过人力资源途径和制度途径产生"资源诅咒",但这两种途径的影响度在不断减弱。This study supports the theory that a regional economic system fits in with a dissipative structure and proposes that dynamic changes of coordination in the system can be measured by using the model of changing entropy. Drawing on the gray relational entropy and China＇ s provincial panel data between 1998 and 2009, this study analyzes China＇ s inter - provincial coordination of ＂resource - economy＂ systems. It is found that the ＂resource - economy＂ relation varies with the change of time and that therefore it is best to look into the effect of resource endowment on the coordination of ＂resource - economy＂ systems by using the state - space mode so that the concept of ＂curse of resources＂ can be re - examined from the perspective of system theory. Our results indicate that the coordination of ＂resource - economy＂ systems has a negative correlation with resource endowment across all the samples; that resource endowment had the strongest effect on the system entropy of ＂resource - economy＂ systems between 2003 and 2005; and that resource endowment will generate the ＂curse of resources＂ through human resource channel and regime channel, but the effect of both are weakening all along.

关 键 词：资源禀赋 “资源—经济”系统 有序度 耗散结构 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]