我国交通基础设施与物流规模的实证研究——基于中国1998—2010年省域空间面板数据  

An Empirical Study on Transportation Infrastructure lnvestment and Regional Logistics Expansion——Based on the Provincial Spatial Panel Data from 1998 to 2010 in China

作　　者：赵泉午[1] 廖勇海[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学贸易与行政学院,重庆400030

出　　处：《华东经济管理》2012年第3期64-68,共5页East China Economic Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(71002070);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(09YJC630244);重庆大学研究生科技创新基金项目(CDJXS11010011)

摘　　要：文章采用空间面板数据计量模型,分析了公路和铁路交通基础设施水平对区域物流规模的影响,结果发现从全国范围来看公路密度增加显著提升了物流规模,铁路密度的影响没有公路显著。通过东中西部地区比较分析,发现铁路密度增加对东部地区产生正向作用,对中西部地区作用不显著,公路密度增加对东中西部地区产生正向作用。物流规模的扩张主要来源于工农业生产部门。Based on the Spatial Econometrics of Panel Data, this paper analyzes the influences of highway and railway transportation infrastructures on regional logistics, the result shows that highway density lead to larger regional logistics scale, while railway density has less impact. Comparisons among East, Middle and West region of China show that railway density has a positive influence on the eastern regions while no significant influence on the Middle and West. Highway density has a positive effect on Middle West and East. Regional logistics expansion is mainly due to the increasing logistics necessity of industrial and agricultural production department.

关 键 词：交通基础设施 物流规模 空间面板 

分 类 号：F503[经济管理—产业经济]