国外对华实施反补贴政策的关键宏观决策影响因素实证研究  

The Empirical Research on the Key Macroscopical Decision-making Factors for Foreign Countries Implementing Countervailing Policy against China

作　　者：乔小勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学公共管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《中国软科学》2011年第12期24-34,共11页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然基金项目"中国反倾销实施效果评估体系与方法研究"(70873007)

摘　　要：目前,随着我国对外贸易的迅速发展,贸易摩擦已经由企业的微观层面向政府政策的宏观层面发展,反补贴已经成为我国贸易摩擦的新热点,并且国外70%以上反补贴政策实施目标为中国。本研究在构建关键宏观决策影响因素"BN-L"组合模型的基础上,运用2004-2009年美国、加拿大、澳大利亚、南非、印度对我国发起的38起反补贴案件及其国内宏观经济发展相关数据,对国外对华实施反补贴政策的关键宏观决策影响因素进行了实证研究,并得出相应结论。同时,选取中美2006年铜版纸案件对研究结论进行进一步的论证与说明。At present,with the rapid development of foreign trade,trade friction of China has transformed from the microcosmic aspects of enterprise to the macroscopical aspects of government,and the main target of more than 70% of foreign countries implementing countervailing investigations is China.Based on constructing＂BN-L＂assembled model of key macroscopical decision-making factors,this research draws the relevant conclusions by exerting the related data of United States,Canada,Australia,South Africa,India implementing 38 countervailing files from the year 2004 to 2009 and domestic macroeconomic development,and making an empirical research on the key macroscopical decision-making factors of foreign countries implementing countervailing policy to China.Moreover,the relevant conclusions above obtained are getting further argument and explanation through choosing the file of coated free sheet paper between the USA and China in the year of 2006.

关 键 词：国外对华 实施 反补贴政策 关键 宏观决策影响因素 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]