稻麦轮作农田氮素循环的DNDC模型分析  

Evaluating the validity and sensitivity of the DNDC model to estimate nitrogen cycling in rice-wheat rotation system

作　　者：夏文建[1,2] 周卫[1] 梁国庆[1] 王秀斌[1] 孙静文[1] 李双来[3] 刘光荣[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业资源与农业区划研究所,北京100081 [2]江西省农业科学院土壤肥料与资源环境研究所,南昌330200 [3]湖北省农业科学院植保土肥所,武汉430064

出　　处：《植物营养与肥料学报》2012年第1期77-88,共12页Journal of Plant Nutrition and Fertilizers

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展计划课题(2007CB109307);公益性行业(农业)科研专项(201003016);国家水稻产业技术体系课题;中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金资助

摘　　要：基于长江中下游稻麦轮作体系的氮肥施用田间试验,采用Denitrification-Decomposition model(DNDC)模型研究了气候条件、土壤属性、农业管理等输入因素的不确定性对子粒产量、作物氮吸收、氨挥发、N2O排放等预测结果的影响。结果显示,采用DNDC模型模拟的土壤氨挥发速率和N2O排放通量与田间实测结果较为吻合,氨挥发通量模拟值与实测值相关系数为0.688,N2O排放通量模拟值与实测值相关系数为0.528,均达极显著水平,表明DNDC模型预测农田土壤氮素具有较高可信度。模拟结果显示,气温和氮肥用量是影响作物产量和吸氮量的关键因素;土壤氨挥发主要受氮肥品种影响,并随氮肥用量增加而增加;土壤N2O排放主要受温度、土壤pH值、土壤有机碳含量的影响。为使DNDC能更有效地估算氨挥发和N2O排放,有必要获取更翔实的资料以减少输入数据的不确定性。Based on in situ measurements of ammonia volatilization and nitrous oxide （N2O） emission from a wheat-rice rotation field, as a representative of cropping system in Yangtze Plain, the reliability and sensitivity of Denitrification-Deeomposition model （DNDC） for forecasting nitrogen cycling and balance were tested in field scale, and influencing factors of various N cycling pathways were identified. A higher reliability was found between soil ammonia volatilization and N2O emission simulated by DNDC model and field results, suggesting that the DNDC model could be used for describing nitrogen loss under different nitrogen fertilizer managements. According to sensitivity test on the DNDC model, both grain yield and crop N uptake were significantly affected by temperature and nitrogen application rate, ammonia volatilization was significantly influenced by fertilizer N type and nitrogen application rate, N2O emission significantly affected by temperature, soil pH and soil organic carbon. More work is needed to improve the validation of DNDC model to estimate ammonia volatilization and N2O emission.

关 键 词：稻麦轮作 氮循环 DNDC模型 敏感性分析 

分 类 号：S153.6[农业科学—土壤学]