中国农村劳动力返乡:基于人力资本回报的理论和实证分析  

CHINA RETURNED LABORS TO THE RURAL:A THEORETICAL AND EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ON RETURN OF HUMAN CAPITAL APPROACH

作　　者：伍振军[1] 郑力文[2] 崔传义[1] 孔祥智[2] 

机构地区：[1]国务院发展研究中心,北京100010 [2]中国人民大学,北京100872

出　　处：《经济理论与经济管理》2011年第11期100-108,共9页Economic Theory and Business Management

基　　金：原劳动和社会保障部课题"农民工回乡创业情况与政策建议"

摘　　要：本文借鉴刘易斯二元经济发展模型和托达罗模型,构造了农村劳动力两阶段迁移理论模型,理论分析表明,农村劳动力返乡是理性选择,原因是其人力资本回报在欠发达地区要高于发达地区。随后,本文利用2007年5月调查获得的中西部70个县2 353位返乡农村劳动力数据,利用改进后明瑟尔收入模型,比较这个群体在发达地区与欠发达地区的人力资本回报率,验证了理论模型的分析结论。By referring to Lewis dualistic economic development model and Todaro model, this paper built a rural labors return model in the human capital approach. The theoretical analysis showed that in the less developed area, the rates of return on human capital of the returned rural labors should be higher than theirs in the developed cities. Furthermore, a modified Mincer model was implemented using a cross section data of 2353 returned migrants gathered in rural China in 2007 to compare their rates of return on human capital in the developed cities and rural area. The results approved most of the theoretical analysis conclusion.

关 键 词：农村劳动力迁移模型 明瑟尔模型 人力资本回报率 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济] F249.2F224